FM Group Newsletter
Autumn 2021
Introduction
FROM THE DIRECTORS
Welcome to the Autumn edition of our newsletter.
The forestry sector in New Zealand is experiencing a period of high activity. There has been a sustained lift in log prices from July 2020 through to April this year boosting harvest production. A steadily increasing carbon price and firm outlook has continued to increase interest in new planting.
NZ has benefited from a constrained log supply in Europe as well as the continued halt of log exports from Australia into China. A recent surge in shipping rates due to under capacity looked as if it would result in a reasonable price drop for forest owners, but the market was able to withstand a lift in the price to cover this.
Domestic sawmills and other processing plants have full order books with solid demand going forward. The recent focus by the media on a shortage of framing timber highlights where demand and supply is for building products.
A lot of people are trying to get involved in the ETS which has really lifted demand and the price for land which is eligible.
A limiting factor to planting is seedling availability. Seedlings are well and truly sold out for the 2021 season. If you are looking at planting in 2022 you need to be looking to get your orders in by around September to ensure you get seedlings.
As well as exotics there’s been a real lift in interest in planting natives, which is to be encouraged. The One Billion Tree Fund has been oversubscribed so you can no longer put an application in for this fund. It seems likely that the government will focus it’s next round of funding on native planting. The price of carbon will be enough to encourage the planting of exotics. We are waiting for announcements in this area.
Craig McMiken
Director
Planting Update – Otago Region
Afforestation continues to be a key part of business in Otago, largely driven by reward from the ETS. 2021 was booked for planting by November, and 2022 is already set to be another large planting program.
Planting continues to be diverse and this year we have:
Radiata pine replanting on our harvested blocks and the majority of our new land plantings.
Douglas-fir as an alternative, longer rotation, high-value tree crop.
Hybrid pines above 400 metres, or in an exposed climate.
Poplars as an option to sequester carbon and benefit from continued grazing.
We are currently in a dry climate, with low soil moisture levels in most parts of Otago as we head into winter. East and North Otago have mixed results in tree survivability from last year’s planting, as a result of the dry conditions. However, by pre-plant spraying where possible to eliminate moisture leaving the ground, this can be controlled to some degree.
One of our contractors, has recently built a winch excavator, meaning mechanical land preparation (root-raking) can now be achieved safely on steeper sites.
We have been impressed with the performance of the Hybrid pine, which continues to be a preferred option for a non- wilding tree species in the higher altitude locations in Otago.
We have developed some large clients in Otago, a combination of farmers and investors, who have no prior experience in forestry and with collaboration are now seeing the benefits of forestry, including carbon income, reduced overheads and increasing profitability on other land/ investments.
Study – Forestry Opportunities in Canterbury
Christchurch staff member Adrian Loo recently completed a Masters study exploring the opportunities for planting forestry in Canterbury. His masters thesis was awarded with a top Distinction pass grade from the University of Canterbury and the results are a great example of the opportunities available for FML clients for planting trees.
Using the Ministry for the Environment Land Use Capability data this study identified that there is over 1.2 million hectares of land deemed suitable for afforestation across the whole Canterbury wood supply region which represents around 1/4 of total land area.
The majority of the land identified as suitable for afforestation is low producing grassland under the LUCAS classification and contained within LUC classes 6 and 7.
A case study in the Hurunui TA was used to calculate the profitability of potential planting areas.
A model was developed for these areas that calculated their profitability based on their individual property characteristics such as growth rates, log grade mix, harvesting and roading costs, distance to markets and log price.
The future harvesting returns per hectare were on average approximately $30,000 per hectare. This is consistent with actual reported small-scale owner harvest returns in the Canterbury region.
The future harvesting profits ranged significantly and this highlights the importance of seeking advice to ensure your planting areas maximise your lands potential for future harvest income.
Log price at the time of harvest was observed to have the biggest impact on future profitability.
Fortunately, here in Canterbury we have a strong domestic sawmill industry, and this helps reduce the impact of varying export prices. Supplying these markets not only provides price stability for the forest owner, but also supports these important industries through ensuring that these sawmills have adequate supply.
An economic land use comparison was undertaken to see how planting this land compares to the alternative. In total 82% of the suitable planting areas in the Hurunui region provided an economic return that exceeded the average return of the next best alternative land use. This was driven by both timber and carbon returns from the potential planting areas.
This study highlighted a large proportion of land that was suitable from an economic viewpoint. However, it was also stressed that future planting needs to be incorporated into the wider farming system at a level, in places that does not cause negative disruptions for the wider farm. Right tree, right place.
This study highlights the opportunities for earning revenue from harvesting or through planting areas of forestry on your property.
Please get in touch if you want to discuss these opportunities further.
Cheviot A&P Show
The annual Cheviot A&P show was held on 13th March. It was a blue sky Canterbury day, resulting in a great turn out and opportunity for people to talk farming and forestry.
SML supplied a truck and trailer unit of logs, and Davaar Logging brought in their log skidder for show-goers to view. For adults and children it was a good chance to get up close to some big gear which is normally only seen at distance.
The competition run by FML to guess the weight of logs on the truck brought a lot of interest to the stand with the 3 closest guesses winning hunting and fishing vouchers.
If you are still guessing, it was 24.02 tonnes
FML supplied loads of giveaways including Swazi beanies, tree diameter tapes, mugs, caps and the odd beer! Big thanks to the Canterbury West Coast Wood Council that also supplied giveaways for kids, as well as gear to look at.
Great day was had by all in the sun with plenty of forestry talk happening with the locals. FML took 'Exhibitor of the Year Award' which was great recognition for forestry in the North Canterbury region.
From the Backpage
Some people spend their weekends relaxing, playing golf, sitting on the beach and perhaps drinking a few beers. Others have a slightly different outlook on what they call “fun”…
Mid-April FML directors Glenn Moir and Evan MacClure set off on a road bike ride of epic proportions. The goal was to ride from Glenn’s current home in Lincoln to his old home town on the West Coast, Hokitika. Glenn and Evan set off on a rainy Saturday morning embarking on the 252km bike ride.
Greeted by a dusting of snow on Porters Pass, refuelled with food at Arthurs Pass and punished by a headwind on the final straight this ride was no “Lazy Saturday” activity. Just over 11 hours later (and with over 2,400 vertical meters of climbing!) they made it to Hokitika and completed their goal.